How a model is built

Methodology

Every model on the platform is a fixed rule applied to public daily price data, evaluated once a day after the close. The rule, the market it runs on and its parameters were set in advance and do not change with the reading.

Data window

Daily open, high, low and close from 2015 to the present for every index and instrument the models read.

Inputs

Trend (the 200-day average), momentum (RSI 14 and MACD), trend strength (ADX 14), the volatility regime, a cross-asset momentum rank, seasonality, and a statistical model's probability of a positive outcome.

Regime overlay

A VIX-based overlay that classes the market as risk-on, neutral or risk-off. It is a check inside the confluence checklist rather than a separate model.

Macro overlay

The eleven-indicator recession count. It gates the high-conviction S&P 500 model and sits behind every read as context.

Levels

Entry, stop and target are set from price structure the day a position opens, then fixed. Some models also carry a time stop.

Output

The same read for every subscriber on a plan. The free plan sees it a day later.

The approach is TradeIntel's own. The papers listed under References inform it but do not endorse it. Specific parameters are proprietary; the logic is not hidden.